Donald Trump has no idea what has hit him, and itā€™s a joy to watch - eviltoast

Heā€™s had yet another horrible week. The old tricks arenā€™t working. Kamala Harris does not fear him. And itā€™s showing in the numbers.

  • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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    2 months ago

    Youā€™re fine with hurting democratic chances as long as, what, the alternative candidate is better than or equal-to the democrats when it comes to saving Palestinian lives? Doesnā€™t this mean that you arenā€™t fine with it in our current reality where our only options are Kamala and Trump? Or are you suggesting youā€™d be ok with it if there was a third-party candidate with a better policy?

    I am fine with hurting Democratic chances as a side effect as part of a campaign which will produce better behavior from the Democrats. Sorry, I should have made that clear. I think thereā€™s been a slight (pitifully slight) shift in the Democratic line on Gaza this year, and I think a lot of that is because of how much pro-Palestinian activism was creating real credible threats to them electorally. To me that is fine, thatā€™s a good thing.

    It would be great if our system supported a third option, but it doesnā€™t šŸ˜¢. Not in this election. I think advocating for reform of the system in the future, and pushing for more humanity from the Democrats, is the best we can do for now.

    Anything which actually goes as far as leading to Trump getting elected for real will be an unmitigated catastrophe for the Palestinians (even relative to their existing level of catastrophe which is already hell on earth). I think they might literally all be dead or pushed into Egypt by the end of a Trump term. (They might be at the end of a Harris term, too, but itā€™s at least less likely).

    When a protest gets big enough to present a genuine threat to the Democratic electoral machine, suddenly itā€™s the protestors fault for, what, successfully raising the issue and pressuring the democrats?

    No. I donā€™t know how many times I need to keep explaining that this is not what I am saying, or why you keep not listening to me when I do. Do it one more time and I will report you for strawmanning and see if the mods feel that that represents approaching the conversation in bad faith, and either way just end my side of the conversation.

    If a substantial portion of the electorate is turned off by their stance on an issue being protested, itā€™s not fault of the protestors, it is the thing being protested thatā€™s doing the damage.

    It is highly relevant whether the thing being protested is actually happening.

    So e.g. when the uncommitted voters punish the Democrats for their support of Israel, Iā€™m in favor of that. When ozma makes something up about the Democrats that isnā€™t accurate, which only hurts their chances but doesnā€™t do anything productive for anyone except Trump, Iā€™m against that.

    Why do I keep having to explain this? This is such a weird conversation.

    The Palestinian genocide and the USā€™s complicity in it is happening in real-life objective terms. Protestors are simply pointing out the USā€™s continued roll in it and asking the democrats to put an end to it (quite peacefully i might add). Fuck, even simply making a definitive statement or commitment to it would be great, but they continue walking on egg-shells because they still value Israel as an ally more than they care about Israel committing war crimes.

    100% agree

    Your ā€œcalculusā€ is simply ā€˜democrats have moved as much as they are willing, and any more protest will hurt their electoral odds, so letā€™s top nowā€™.

    I feel like just typing again the same thing I have been typing will not be productive here

    Let me try just pure pattern recognition

    Is that what I am saying?

    1. Yes
    2. No

    Pick one

    donā€™t compare those who disagree with you as ā€˜abusersā€™ (i keep giving you opportunity to amend your language here, but you donā€™t seem like you want to)

    No, I do not. I can take another stab at explaining it, but first let me ask something: Would you agree that Trump would be an even worse catastrophe for Palestinians (as well as many many other vulnerable people) than a second term of the existing Democratic status quo?

    • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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      2 months ago

      I am fine with hurting Democratic chances as a side effect as part of a campaign which will produce better behavior from the Democrats.

      So e.g. when the uncommitted voters punish the Democrats for their support of Israel, Iā€™m in favor of that. When ozma makes something up about the Democrats that isnā€™t accurate, which only hurts their chances but doesnā€™t do anything productive for anyone except Trump, Iā€™m against that.

      This is it, I think. If it were just about misinformation, weā€™d be having a different conversation. I donā€™t think anyone here would defend sharing outright false information. But that isnā€™t the only complaint youā€™ve had about Ozma; youā€™ve complained that they only post bad things about democrats, not just that some of them are incorrect (not even incorrect in entirety, sometimes simply incorrect it its framing, or maybe even factually accurate but simply uncharitable in its framing). I disagree with suggesting that behavior is ā€˜over the lineā€™, outside of any alleged misinformation. Similarly, if there are pro-Palestinian protestors at the DNC today, I wouldnā€™t classify those people as ā€œā€œuseful idiotsā€ā€ (I cannot put enough scare-quotes around this). The democrats have not moved hardly at all on their Israel policy, why wouldnā€™t they be legitimate protestors? I am indignant that I have to keep defending loosely-targeted attacks against protestors coming from you, when you are still being vague about what makes a protest or online protest behavior something that you consider to be ā€œactually leading to Trump getting electedā€. How the fuck do you measure that? What proof to you have that Ozma or Linkerbann or anyone else is ā€œactually leading to Trump getting electedā€, or that their building popular discontent around democrats on this issue isnā€™t ā€œhelping lead to better behavior from democratsā€? Fuck you for accusing me of misrepresenting your argument, when your argument seems completely dependent on some imagined future that only you could possibly see. Honestly, ā€˜actually leading to xā€™ is effectively meaningless. Who the fuck knows if something ā€œactually leadsā€ to something? And it also still incorrectly places the responsibility of the protestor, who is protesting against a policy they would like to see changed, instead of the person in power, who is consistently refusing to take meaningful action toward better policy.

      Is that what I am saying?

      1. Yes
      2. No

      I reject your question.

      FFS, how about you apply your logic on your own example, then? If there are massive palestinian protests in the DNC this week that constantly interrupt the proceedings, is that an example of a good or bad protest? Is there additional information that you need to make that determination?

      Or maybe online: if thereā€™s a user who exclusively posts (factually accurate) information about the Democratā€™s culpability in the ongoing Palestinian genocide, is that a good or bad protest behavior? What makes it so? How do you know if that behavior ā€œactually leads to x or y outcomeā€ without traveling to the future to see what impact it had?

      No, I do not. I can take another stab at explaining it, but first let me ask something: Would you agree that Trump would be an even worse catastrophe for Palestinians (as well as many many other vulnerable people) than a second term of the existing Democratic status quo?

      Iā€™ll answer your question with another question: would you agree that supporting any amount of genocide is beyond indefensible? Hint: the answer should be fairly obvious and the question should feel incredibly condescending.

      If I wanted to be petty Iā€™d apply your own logic on your own behavior in defending democrats on their inaction. Does mozzā€™s behavior lead to better or worse policy from democrats? Does making excuses for their lack or response improve their policy on Gaza? No? Well fuck, looks like heā€™s just another useful idiot, then. šŸ¤·ā€ā™‚ļø Absent any concrete qualifiers i guess anyone or everyone could be a bad-actor

      • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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        2 months ago

        Honestly, ā€˜actually leading to xā€™ is effectively meaningless. Who the fuck knows if something ā€œactually leadsā€ to something?

        This is totally weird to me. Why would you possibly advocate for any particular course of action, except in terms of what itā€™s likely to accomplish?

        What else would lead you to what youā€™re deciding to do? Vibes? Allegiance to the group? Iā€™m just lost. I mean of course itā€™s impossible to know for sure what the outcome will be, but you can at least make an educated guess.

        Why else would you do a protest, unless you were aiming to impact the future? That is a serious question.

        I donā€™t think anyone here would defend sharing outright false information. But that isnā€™t the only complaint youā€™ve had about Ozma; youā€™ve complained that they only post bad things about democrats, not just that some of them are incorrect

        Hm. So, I just looked over a bunch of Ozmaā€™s recent history and it honestly looks fine. Maybe itā€™s a little dishonest to characterize one of the main architects of the IRA and the Paris Agreement as ā€œformer alum of Blackrockā€ as if thatā€™s the most relevant thing about him. But I mean basically itā€™s fine and thatā€™s the only story I have much of any complaint about.

        I think most of my complaint about ozma is historical at this point. Back in the day he would do stuff like say Biden betrayed his voters on marijuana policy because he said he would do X Y and Z and then he didnā€™t. When I pointed out he had done X and Y and tried to do Z but failed, ozma would ignore it and post more memes about how Biden betrayed his voters on marijuana. That to me seems like it implies you donā€™t give a shit about X Y or Z, or pushing Biden to better marijuana policy, but you do want to try to get Trump elected. Thatā€™s weird and counterproductive. To me.

        If there are massive palestinian protests in the DNC this week that constantly interrupt the proceedings, is that an example of a good or bad protest?

        No idea. Iā€™m not even plugged in enough to that culture to know. Probably itā€™ll be a good thing; anything thatā€™s directly putting pressure on the Democrats and bringing public awareness to the issue will probably be a good thing, because those are two excellent things.

        Like I said, I donā€™t know if there are any people who are doing protests at the DNC who think the answer is to unconditionally blow up support for the Democrats, imply that they caused inflation and they love what Netanyahuā€™s doing and are cheering him on, and so vote instead for Cornel West. I know they exist on Lemmy, and if theyā€™re in Chicago too, then I would classify those people as useful idiots.

        Does that help answer the question?

        Iā€™ll answer your question with another question:

        Dude, I am not asking that as any kind of ā€œgotchaā€ question or anything. I want to know where you are coming from.

        would you agree that supporting any amount of genocide is beyond indefensible? Hint: the answer should be fairly obvious and the question should feel incredibly condescending.

        If itā€™s a choice between blowing up the earth and destroying India or something, and those are the only two possible options, then I would choose destroying India. Thatā€™s sort of the type of choice you have to make in modern American politics. If there was a way to lean on the lever to make the blow-up-India explosion smaller, I would definitely support doing that.

        If someone was saying, blowing up India is SO BAD that it is indefensible, and so I want to aim a whole bunch of criticism at the blowing up India option (and in a way that seems only in the vaguest of senses to connect with leaning on the lever to make the explosion smaller and in practice seems more likely just to make more likely the blowing-up-earth option), that would alarm the fuck out of me and I would disagree with that person.

        I mean doesnā€™t that make sense? If the alternative is no genocide, then supporting genocide is indefensible. If the alternative is a bigger genocide, then supporting genocide can be an ā€œacceptableā€ (if you want to call it that) lesser evil. Putting pressure on to reduce the magnitude of the lesser genocide, while also advocating for it to be the lesser and not the greater genocide, sounds perfectly defensible. It sounds right to me.

        Does mozzā€™s behavior lead to better or worse policy from democrats? Does making excuses for their lack or response improve their policy on Gaza? No? Well fuck, looks like heā€™s just another useful idiot, then.

        I doubt anyone from the DNC is on Lemmy. I think the impact of anything I am saying, if any, will be on the voters.

        Thatā€™s what makes it not make sense to me why shitting on Democrats on Lemmy is supposed to help any Palestinians. It seems more likely to get Trump elected, which will hurt them.

        • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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          2 months ago

          Why else would you do a protest, unless you were aiming to impact the future? That is a serious question.

          Lmao no itā€™s not, youā€™ve been articulating the other reason repeatedly, havenā€™t you? According to you, a great many people protest simply to get Trump elected, right?

          Like I said, I donā€™t know if there are any people who are doing protests at the DNC who think the answer is to unconditionally blow up support for the Democrats, imply that they caused inflation and they love what Netanyahuā€™s doing and are cheering him on, and so vote instead for Cornel West

          Thereā€™s good news here: there actually is a condition to running interference to democratic support, and itā€™s very well communicated.

          The funny thing is that people want to treat the opposition as a monolith, but itā€™s a coalition of various interests just like any other group. If thereā€™s a group within the group that is hard-lining a Palestinian liberation movement, the good news is that group likely isnā€™t big enough that youā€™d need their support. But thereā€™s likely some compromise policy that gets the support you need from that larger group without conceding the least practical conditions.

          But when you treat them as a monolith, itā€™s easy to complain that nothing you do can appease that group of crazies so they must not be acting in good-faith!

          doubt anyone from the DNC is on Lemmy. I think the impact of anything I am saying, if any, will be on the voters.

          Lol this would be more funny if it werenā€™t so depressing. You donā€™t even see the self-contradiction. It reminds me a little of that conservative minority trope: ā€œour opposition is both laughably weak and existentially dangerousā€

          • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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            2 months ago

            According to you, a great many people protest simply to get Trump elected, right?

            But when you treat them as a monolith, itā€™s easy to complain that nothing you do can appease that group of crazies so they must not be acting in good-faith!

            Let me try a different tactic: Iā€™ll just ask it as a question. Am I supportive of people protesting at the DNC, trying to get the Democrats to improve their policy on Israel by vocally demanding change, and withholding support unless they do?

            Iā€™ve given you the answer as to what my feeling on this is, several times.

            • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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              2 months ago

              Based on your varied responses: sometimes.

              It seems to depend a great deal on what you think the likely outcome of that protest is, and if your imagined calculus puts the protest on the wrong side of some imaginary line, suddenly those protestors are ā€˜useful idiotsā€™ at best or ā€˜bad-actorsā€™ at worst.

              • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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                2 months ago

                It seems to depend a great deal on what you think the likely outcome of that protest is, and if your imagined calculus puts the protest on the wrong side of some imaginary line, suddenly those protestors are ā€˜useful idiotsā€™ at best or ā€˜bad-actorsā€™ at worst.

                Yes. You have grasped it.

                If someoneā€™s protesting with the most likely result being better outcomes for the Palestinian people (because of useful pressure on the Democratic party, or even better some longer-term reform to our broken system that leaves these as the only two options), then Iā€™m in favor of it.

                If someoneā€™s protesting in such a way that the most likely result is Trump winning the election and making things 10 times worse for the Palestinians, then Iā€™m against it.

                I have no idea why that would be weird or surprising, but yes. Thereā€™s a little bit of overlap between those two goals, and itā€™s impossible to know the future or the impact of any particular action definitively, but a lot of real-world situations are messy. Themā€™s the breaks.

                I describe as ā€œuseful idiotsā€ people who are falling for deliberate propaganda which is being deployed to turn them unconditionally against the Democrats, alongside a lot of objectively false criticism, producing only a vague level of improvement to the Democratsā€™ behavior but a strong result of making it more likely that Trump will win, yes. If youā€™re not doing that them Iā€™m fine with you. And I have no idea, as I said, how many (if any) of the DNC protestors will fall into that category in practice. I just know how I categorize people based on the outcomes theyā€™re promoting, and I know I see people in that ā€œuseful idiotā€ category on Lemmy. I donā€™t think youā€™re one of them, for the record; thatā€™s why I laid out some of the specific accounts Iā€™d describe as more specifically promoting propaganda as opposed to good activism and tried to be specific about it.

                Hope this all is helpful; glad we could clear it up.

                • archomrade [he/him]@midwest.social
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                  2 months ago

                  I describe people who are falling for deliberate propaganda which is being deployed to turn them unconditionally against the Democrats, producing only a vague level of improvement to the Democratsā€™ behavior but a stronger result of making it more likely that Trump will win, as ā€œuseful idiots,ā€ yes.

                  Jesus christ. Do you consider US culpability in the Palestinian Genocide a part of this ā€˜deliberate propagandaā€™? At what point does someone protesting against democratic involvement and complacency in Israeli war crimes become someone who is protesting against democrats generally? Is there any grey area that youā€™re willing to acknowledge between these two categorical binaries youā€™ve proposed? Can there be a legitimate protest against the democrats, that hurts their odds at winning, but doesnā€™t directly result in a change of policy? If the democrats and the protestors both refuse to bend to the other, is it categorically the protestorsā€™ fault if and when trump wins? Even if it isnā€™t apparent that theyā€™ve lost explicitly because of those protestors? Is it also the fault of the protestors if the democrats adopt a pro-palestinian policy in response to the protestors, AND THEN lose? What iā€™m gathering from you is that it is ALWAYS the protestors fault for the loss, no matter what the democrats do in response.

                  Fuck off with your electoral reductionism. The democrats are not helpless here, and they could absolutely be fighting to save palestinian lives and it is 100% their own fault if voters decide they canā€™t support them over it. They are welcome to weigh the electoral calculus to predict how voters might react to their policies but it is completely their own fault if theyā€™ve chosen the wrong ones.

                  ā€œI agree with you in the goal you seek, but I cannot agree with your methods of direct actionā€; who paternalistically believes he can set the timetable for another manā€™s freedom; who lives by a mythical concept of time and who constantly advises the Negro to wait for a ā€œmore convenient season.ā€

                  • mozz@mbin.grits.dev
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                    2 months ago

                    Do you consider US culpability in the Palestinian Genocide a part of this ā€˜deliberate propagandaā€™?

                    No

                    At what point does someone protesting against democratic involvement and complacency in Israeli war crimes become someone who is protesting against democrats generally?

                    When they stop either conditioning their lack of support on Democratic behavior, or advocating for voting reform or some other strategy which can lead to effective replacement of the Democrats with something better. Either one of those sounds fine and sensible to me, but when they reach the point of saying, functionally, ā€œwell if the Democrats arenā€™t doing what I want then I will let the Republicans win even if they are 10 times worse at the things I hold as priorities in the world,ā€ that to me stops making sense.

                    I think if youā€™re a Palestinian who is still alive right now, and a protestor ā€œon your behalfā€ enables Trump to come to power, and then Trump supports someone who kills you, the idea that the protestor was mad that the Democrats werenā€™t doing enough for you before Trump and Netanyahu cooperated to kill you would be cold comfort. I think this whole ā€œharm reduction isnā€™t worth doingā€ idea is a childish and entitled reaction from someone who is safely far away from that harm that is very real to very real people in the real world, who have the luxury of poo pooing the entire idea of predicting outcomes in the real world and strategizing how to get them.

                    Is there any grey area that youā€™re willing to acknowledge between these two categorical binaries youā€™ve proposed?

                    Yes, quite a substantial one.

                    Can there be a legitimate protest against the democrats, that hurts their odds at winning, but doesnā€™t directly result in a change of policy?

                    Yes. If itā€™s only hurting their odds of winning, and not even trying to change their policy, then itā€™s suspect to me, but as you said thereā€™s quite a substantial grey area and itā€™s not easy to tell ahead of time what protest might result in what outcome. You have to just kind of do what you can and hope that youā€™ve worked it out what is going to help the Palestinians and what is going to hurt them, and do the first and not the second as best as you can figure it out.

                    If the democrats and the protestors both refuse to bend to the other, is it categorically the protestorsā€™ fault if and when trump wins?

                    Not categorically, no. The Democrats have a lot of responsibility, the Republicans and Netanyahu obviously have quite a bit more. The protestors might have some responsibility, but depending on how they were protesting, potentially not much at all.

                    Honestly, Iā€™m less concerned with assigning ā€œblameā€ after the fact than I am with strategizing what I could do, or what someone else could do, to get better outcomes. Like I say, I consider this whole thing of it being real important ā€œwhose fault it isā€ when something horrifying happens to be an entitled mentality from someone whoā€™s not directly in danger. Mostly when peopleā€™s familiesā€™ lives are threatened theyā€™re more focused on ā€œhow can I keep them safeā€ than they are on ā€œwhose fault will it be if someone comes to power who kills them, and how can I make sure it wonā€™t be this personā€™s fault but instead this other personā€™s fault.ā€

                    Even if it isnā€™t apparent that theyā€™ve lost explicitly because of those protestors? Is it also the fault of the protestors if the democrats adopt a pro-palestinian policy in response to the protestors, AND THEN lose?

                    So this brings up a really good point. To me, it makes a lot more sense to help the Palestinians by educating the American people about whatā€™s going on in Palestine, so the Democrats wonā€™t have to decide (to any degree) between enabling war crimes and losing the election.

                    A lot of protests right now are serving a double purpose ā€“ one, theyā€™re bringing awareness to the issue with the American people (and itā€™s working), and two, theyā€™re threatening the Democrats electorally and forcing them to change their calculus of what types of Israel policy they should do if they donā€™t want to lose the election from the other direction (and thatā€™s working, too). Both of those are good things. I keep saying that, and you keep insisting for some reason that I must have a problem with them. I guess because it makes the point that youā€™re trying to say easier if I am just against all protestors. As I keep saying, I am not.

                    What iā€™m gathering from you is that it is ALWAYS the protestors fault for the loss, no matter what the democrats do in response.

                    I donā€™t care whose ā€œfaultā€ it is. I am talking about what actions are good (in terms of creating better outcomes in the future), and what actions are bad (in terms of getting people killed). Like I said, this emphasis on ā€œfaultā€ having any significant importance is the mindset of someone who isnā€™t watching their family getting killed.