"You were so woke you made me into a fascist 🥺" - eviltoast
  • lennybird@lemmy.world
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    4 months ago

    Discussion aside, wtaf is boingboing.net? I’m even hesitant to click that link.

    • Reliable pollsters are accurate albeit snapshots in time.

    • Aggregate reliable polls even more so.

    • Nate Silver’s algorithm is over 90% accurate in its prediction model across thousands of races over the years.

    • Cook Political Report is the gold standard.

    • Even internal polls reported by democratic Congressional campaigns as well as the President’s team themselves admit they’re behind.

    • They were 10 points up at this time in 2020.

    • If you aren’t going off this, what ARE you going off of, vibes? In one breath you say don’t put stock in polls, then point to an outlier? I mean, what!?

    So you can’t comfort me saying that when Biden should’ve come out 1 step ahead from that debate, he is not maybe only 1 step back as he has been for ages, but possibly 2 steps back.