Lock Him Up? A New Poll Has Some Bad News for Trump - eviltoast
  • Flying Squid@lemmy.world
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    41
    arrow-down
    1
    ·
    1 year ago

    The court of public opinion has a lot to do with an election, however. And that’s the problem for Trump now.

    • kescusay@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      25
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      1 year ago

      Yep. Trump’s only way of actually staying out of prison at this point isn’t winning in an actual courtroom. It’s delaying the trials for as long as he possibly can and then winning the general election.

      So polls that show he’s unlikely to be able to do so are indeed bad news for him.

      • FlexibleToast@lemmy.world
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        6
        ·
        1 year ago

        Luckily for us, that can’t keep him out of Georgia prison. He can only pardon himself of federal charges. Granted I don’t think he has a chance in a general election. The Republican party is so screwed up they keep picking more and more extreme candidates even though those candidates usually lose in the general.

    • TheOneWithTheHair@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      11
      ·
      1 year ago

      When you get to the second question, “Do you believe that Donald Trump is guilty of the alleged crimes in the federal 2020 election subversion election case?” and 14% of Republicans think he is guilty. If they are unwilling to vote for Trump, that’s potentially an election flusher. While popular vote doesn’t win elections (Hillary pulled 2.1% more of the popular vote than Trump in 2016), it can shift the electoral college votes in states, turning red states (potentially) to blue.

      In the 2020 election, Trump won North Carolina (15 electoral college votes), Trump got 2,758,775 votes, Biden 2,684,292. If 14% of the republicans abstained from voting in 2020, Trump would have received about 2,372,547 votes, losing the state to Biden rather than winning it.

      Yes, Trump lost to Biden anyway in 2020, but Republicans that won’t vote for Trump, nor a Democrat, just won’t vote. And voters not voting can shift Electoral College votes in states.

      • Atramentous@lemm.ee
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        1 year ago

        Relatively small shifts on the margins can have huge consequences in the electoral college.