“Debate performances can be overcome,” Allan Lichtman said. “At the first sign of adversity the spineless Democrats want to throw under the bus, their own incumbent president.”
Before the debate, I wasn’t sure who’d win: Biden or Trump.
Even Allen Lichtman was unsure.
After the debate, I figure Biden will lose.
I’m not saying it’s an absolute certainty—we have 4 months and many things could happen. If someone offered to bet me their $500 that Trump will win to my $100 on Biden winning, I’d take it.
If Biden is replaced, I think he’d be more likely to lose.
If he was elected, Biden needn’t serve all 4 years: he could resign a few months later, make Harris President, and AOC, Sanders, Newsom, whatever, as VP.
As I think Biden will lose, one might want to vote their hearts.
If 2.5 million Californians who voted for Biden instead voted for RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden (or his replacement) would still probably win all 55 Electoral College votes of that state.
If the 5 million Texans who voted for Biden, also, instead voted RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden would lose no more Electoral College votes.
Before the debate, I wasn’t sure who’d win: Biden or Trump.
Even Allen Lichtman was unsure.
After the debate, I figure Biden will lose.
I’m not saying it’s an absolute certainty—we have 4 months and many things could happen. If someone offered to bet me their $500 that Trump will win to my $100 on Biden winning, I’d take it.
If Biden is replaced, I think he’d be more likely to lose.
If he was elected, Biden needn’t serve all 4 years: he could resign a few months later, make Harris President, and AOC, Sanders, Newsom, whatever, as VP.
As I think Biden will lose, one might want to vote their hearts.
Keep in mind, it might be dependent on states.
wp:2020 United States presidential election#Results by state
If 2.5 million Californians who voted for Biden instead voted for RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden (or his replacement) would still probably win all 55 Electoral College votes of that state.
If the 5 million Texans who voted for Biden, also, instead voted RJK Jr, Stein, and West in 2024, Biden would lose no more Electoral College votes.