TracingWoodgrains launches a defense of Manifest's controversial reputation, all without betraying a basic understanding of what the word "controversial" means. - eviltoast

…And if it weren’t for that one joke by Hannibal, Bill Cosby would be very uncontroversial.

  • deborah@awful.systems
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    23
    ·
    5 months ago

    Ben Stewart:

    Manifest’s decisions are and have been bad not in terms of PR, but bad for its own epistemics, the forecasting community, EA, and basic human decency.

    TW:

    “Basic human decency”? Jeez, mate. I understand not wanting to engage with right-wingers personally, but treating it as a deep affront when others choose to do so is off-putting, to say the least.

    Ben Stewart:

    Yeah that was a bit strong, sorry late here.

    Ben, honey. You do not have to apologize for referring to platforming Hanania as an affront to basic human decency. That TW is successful in shaming you for accurately identifying what happened here is no credit to your own ability to recognize the dangerous epistemic bubble in which you find yourself, or the cultlike social pressures that persuade you to distrust your own correct judgement – not because TW challenged your facts or your interpretation, but because he – gasp! – called it “off-putting.”

    Not everyone’s going to like you. Not everyone’s going to agree with you. Social stigma is a good and correct tool in your toolbox when a member of your community says that cites-the-Turner-Diaries, enforced-sterilization, anti-“miscegenation”, “women’s liberation = the end of human civilization” Richard Hanania has something valuable to add.

  • earthquake@lemm.ee
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    20
    ·
    edit-2
    5 months ago

    TracingWoodgrains seems to have developed, in the process of leaving mormonism, an obsession with seeking out contrarianism. But more importantly, he openly admits to being racist/HBD “align[s] broadly with informed experts that the distribution of genetic traits associated with intelligence is non-zero” and “questions of genetics and IQ, including when it comes to group differences, are worth taking seriously”. As such, he only considers it “racism” if it’s “racial crassness and antagonism”.

    In which TW names who he thinks is treating the topic with the seriousness it demands without sinking to crassness: our good good friend Cremieux.

    • Sailor Sega Saturn@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      17
      ·
      5 months ago

      align[s] broadly with informed experts that the distribution of genetic traits associated with intelligence is non-zero

      Now I’m not the smartest cookie in the bakery but I know a dog-whistle when I see it!

    • V0ldek@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      15
      ·
      5 months ago

      the distribution of genetic traits associated with intelligence is non-zero

      This doesn’t even make sense. What the fuck is a zero distribution? A probability distribution cannot be “zero” in any sensible meaning of the word. Did you mean uniform?

      Also obv citation needed you sack of spuds.

      • earthquake@lemm.ee
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        16
        ·
        5 months ago

        I think he is trying to say something like “non-zero skew”, but really, he just means “I subscribe to race science, but only for the articles”.

        • sinedpick@awful.systems
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          9
          ·
          5 months ago

          I think you’re being too generous. What they wanted to say is “There are genetic traits associated with intelligence.” However, not inserting probability distributions in every fucking sentence is a class 2 misdemeanor in Rat circles, hence what was written.

          • V0ldek@awful.systems
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            7
            ·
            5 months ago

            There are genetic traits associated with intelligence.

            Which is obviously true, since the genetic traits of BEING A HUMAN quite strongly correlate with intelligence.

            There’s no way to say the quiet part without saying it out loud here!

    • slopjockey@awful.systemsOP
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      11
      ·
      5 months ago

      Woow, TIL. I thought he was halfway decent from the way he flatly called sailer a racist (low bar I know), but his consistent fraternization with Hannania seemed strange to me.

    • barsquid@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      10
      ·
      5 months ago

      Is “informed experts” really an accurate description to use over “other racists?”

  • Pisha@lemmy.ml
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    18
    ·
    5 months ago

    The author appears to now be planning a hitpiece on David Gerard:

    With apologies for resurrecting an old thread: I am an independent writer exploring the potential to write an article focused on Gerard’s Wikipedia-related history. I’ve reviewed the information here and the on-wiki behavior and controversies I can find, but if anyone has information I may have missed or other thoughts to share, I would welcome direct messages or replies. In particular, if anyone with an informed perspective is willing to chat at length on the record, I’d appreciate it. I’m an outsider to the whole Wikipedia ecosystem and trying to parse through thousands of pages of history and edits looking for key moments gets rather dense–it’s quite easy for me to miss relevant info.

    https://wikipediocracy.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=8&t=11466&start=50#p355881

    I, for one, am just psyched to see what Jesse Singal’s research assistant is going to tell us about the evils of Wikipedia.

    • Sailor Sega Saturn@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      18
      ·
      5 months ago

      I tried to look up this Mr. Gerard’s lurid wikipedia past expecting at least a torture dungeon or wiki-cult or something; but all I found were a bunch of people grumpy that they couldn’t turn wikipedia articles into cryptocurrency ads.

      Booring.

      • deborah@awful.systems
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        9
        ·
        5 months ago

        When I was listening to the most recent episode of the Maintenance Phase podcast which was all in on mocking J. Michael Bailey with a special dig at autogynephilia theories, I went to go see if David had any history policing weirdos on Bailey’s wikipedia page, as an excuse to bring the episode in for a stubsack link. And he didn’t, which means, once again, booring.

    • David Gerard@awful.systemsM
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      15
      ·
      5 months ago

      ten years ago the wikipedia cranks had compiled lore on me, and some of it had a vague relation to anything that ever happened! Sure can’t wait to see what a good faith rationalist researcher comes up with

    • flere-imsaho@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      14
      ·
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      so now we have confirmation that tracing w. is (a) a petty, vengeful prick and (b) reads this; good. tracing, whoever you are, why don’t you focus on some introspection, like consider what causes you to agree with obvious anti-scientific crap (scientific racism, hbd) and why do you prefer the company of fascists (proto, wannabe, true, disguised, and the illinois nazis) to the company of people who don’t think genocide can be justified for any reason?

      • David Gerard@awful.systemsM
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        11
        ·
        5 months ago

        i must point out that i’ve barely interacted with the guy, if at all, and had previously considered him on the saner end of the rationalists from his reasonably coherent twitter

    • froztbyte@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      11
      ·
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      “wikipediocracy”? fucking seriously?

      for all the good and bad bits that wikipedia has (and there are notably many of the latter too), a rulership is definitely not among that list afaik. wtf.

      (e: I’m going purely off the domain name there, but holy shit what a name)

    • David Gerard@awful.systemsM
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      5 months ago

      TW emailed me asking if I’d be willing to help with the piece. I declined (I can’t see it being any sort of productive use of my time), but I expect he will cobble together something from the extant public records.

    • deborah@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      16
      ·
      5 months ago

      He also wants us to know that Hannania is much less right than he’s made out to be

      Also he doesn’t grasp that people hate Hanania because he’s a racist, not because of where he falls on the forced left/right spectrum.

      • YouKnowWhoTheFuckIAM@awful.systems
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        20
        ·
        edit-2
        5 months ago

        People like TW are the perfect distillation of the booksmart Slate Star Codex fan class, who are so completely sealed in their bubble that they aren’t even in touch with major parts of themselves anymore. They lose, or never developed, the capacity to even simulate a coherent theory of mind which would make appropriate sense of what the other person is saying. Brains like a Frank Gehry building with a roof made from sheer enthusiasm supported by warped tent poles of Scott Alexander heuristics sticking out at odd angles from each other.

        Wow, I went looking for something else and found a deeply sad illustration of exactly what I’m talking about:

        https://twitter.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1772398359745012139

        • slopjockey@awful.systemsOP
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          13
          ·
          5 months ago

          “Yeah, they’re good people; we would hang out more, but my brain isn’t leaking out of my ears”

          • YouKnowWhoTheFuckIAM@awful.systems
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            13
            ·
            edit-2
            5 months ago

            Not to get too corny about it, but there are people in this world who think “don’t condescend” means “be nice about other people’s shortcomings” and people who think it means “you might fucking learn something if you would just stop condescending to people you perceive as having shortcomings”, and the first group is completely oblivious to the difference

            Which is fine, actually, kind of. It certainly takes genuine work if for whatever reason you grew up to see things in a particular way. But it’s also completely not fucking fine that there are so many people going about their lives pontificating on the world without a shred of the requisite humility.

    • David Gerard@awful.systemsM
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      12
      ·
      edit-2
      5 months ago

      TW went on Hanania’s fucking podcast

      these threads are made of lie down in a flea circus, get up denying the existence of fleas

      • 200fifty@awful.systems
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        14
        ·
        5 months ago

        Text in AI-generated images will never not be funny to me. N the most n’tural hnertis indeed.

      • Amoeba_Girl@awful.systems
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        13
        ·
        edit-2
        5 months ago

        [W]hat is perhaps my most fundamental philosophical conviction is this: life is Good, human life especially so. The most natural things in the universe are death, decay, and emptiness. Growth, life, and creation are fragile anomalies. We belong to an eons-long heritage of those who have committed to building and maintaining life in the face of inevitable decay. Our duty is to do the same.

        Putting aside the obvious elders of zionny subtext… I’m an unabashed humanist and this is one of the most childishly anthropocentric things I’ve ever read. Death and decay are human concepts you big dummy. Sucks for you that you apparently can’t imagine our universe outside of your silly meat-bound linear-time phenomenology, but do try to respect and enjoy reality instead of talking like a 1920s pulp protagonist.

      • sinedpick@awful.systems
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        9
        ·
        edit-2
        5 months ago

        Deep into that diatribe:

        Some people’s moral intuitions are that nonexistence is preferable to, or not obviously worse than, existence in a less-than-ideal setting. I wholly reject this intuition, and looking at the record of the persistence of life in the face of adversity, belong to a heritage of those who have, time and time again, rejected it. Life is Good.

        What a disgustingly privileged thing to say. People have survived in shitty situations so therefore more children in poverty is axiomatically good? This guy deserves poverty. (edit: maybe that’s a bit too far but I fucking hate this guy)

          • sinedpick@awful.systems
            link
            fedilink
            English
            arrow-up
            8
            ·
            5 months ago

            In this case, the context is definitely humans being born on earth. The entire diatribe I responded to can be summed up as “People have all kinds of ethical and moral objections to surrogacy. In this post, I dismiss all of those without an argument, and instead assign positive moral value to everything that increases the number of lives, including surrogacy.” It’s probably one of the dumbest things I read this week.

    • V0ldek@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      8
      ·
      5 months ago

      I parsed “right” there as “much less correct than he’s made out to be” and was like, ye, probably, he’s like 0 correct so any amount he’s made out to be is too much.

  • Amoeba_Girl@awful.systems
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    10
    ·
    edit-2
    5 months ago

    Tracingwoodgrains is a reference to one of the sillier plot points in Card’s Ender series, right? Not very flattering imo.

    • deborah@awful.systems
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      10
      ·
      5 months ago

      oh god is it from that messed up OCD plot line in one of the bad ones – Xenocide? – which I’d forgotten about until just now? I guess if someone has an OCD diagnosis you could imagine taking that as a reclamation…

    • slopjockey@awful.systemsOP
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      11
      ·
      5 months ago

      I genuinely don’t know, but I would believe it 100%. He seems like an arrdestiny-esque debate pervert in a reply-guy world. I think a “left wing” motte would suit him

      • Soyweiser@awful.systems
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        10
        ·
        edit-2
        5 months ago

        Looked it up, and guess which sub he mods, could be that im thinking of a different guy who came into sneerclub to go ‘we should setup some better rational arguments against the Rationalists’, which is always quite the waste of time.

        Edit: While looking into this, I see that TracingWood was on a podcast with Jesse Singal of all people. (Also talked about, why Keffals is bad or something (I didn’t listen, and I don’t know that much about what Keffals did or didnt do wrong, but eurgh at Singal talking about trans people, and wow the fans of this podcast are quite transphobic on reddit (protip, that you dislike a transperson (who might even done bad things) is no reason to mock all trans people you shits)))

        • TinyTimmyTokyo@awful.systems
          link
          fedilink
          English
          arrow-up
          16
          ·
          5 months ago

          Until a month ago, TW was the long-time researcher for “Blocked and Reported”, the podcast hosted by Katie ‘TERF’ Herzog and relentless sealion Jesse Singal.

  • Starseeder@awful.systems
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    5
    ·
    5 months ago

    https://x.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1805683265480933638

    He’s getting mad at scientific american again because they wrote a shit opinion peice but he should know the wiki guidelines are generally against citing opinion pieces as fact in your article

    “Editorial commentary, analysis and opinion pieces, whether written by the editors of the publication (editorials) or outside authors (invited op-eds and letters to the editor from notable figures) are reliable primary sources for statements attributed to that editor or author, but are rarely reliable for statements of fact.”

    https://x.com/tracewoodgrains/status/1803489864488460647

    Same here, and I’m not even sure what was so bad about what was said because it was generally a tame article compared to many others.