I just straight up do not trust any polls at this point
Nobody should.
Oh man, where have I seen this before?
spoiler
.
Reality that doesn’t agree with your bias doesn’t make the reality part not reality. Denigrating fact, reason, and evidence because they make you uncomfortable isn’t acceptable. If you have a problem with these results, then challenge them on their face. Come up with a testable reason why they aren’t this way and show us why. Otherwise, you are just contributing to a cult of reality denial-ism.
Emerson College Polling - News Source Context (Click to view Full Report)
Information for Emerson College Polling:
MBFC: Least Biased - Credibility: High - Factual Reporting: High - United States of America
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https://emersoncollegepolling.com/october-2024-michigan-poll-trump-49-harris-48/
OOf. But sure. Kamalas MoM decline is just red-pollsters flooding the zone or some such reality denying BS.
There is the real possibility Kamala can pull this out, but it being this close has always been an unforced error on the part of the campaign. Her campaign strategy has just been, to put it plainly, bad. Its disinterested in finding the electorate where they are at and is offering a confused argument that we should adopt a form of bipartisanship with fascism. Asking the voters to meet halfway with Republicans was such an obviously bad strategy, the campaign deserves to be in the position they are in (when they could easily be +5 in all the swing states). Between the obvious shift to the right, and the intentional disenfranchisement of Arab and Muslim voters and their supporters in the uncommitted movement, this is a campaign that does not deserve to win this election based on how the campaigned.
That all being said, the only clear path to victory I see is through a massive and almost entirely missed uptick in young women voting. Unfortunately, that relies on speculation and ‘feels’ rather than the clear data we have in front of us.