- Die in a few weeks? No
- Get more users than reddit? No
- Be a place in the long run for privacy minded people to escape corporatism and have discussions about any topic? Yes
Let’s be real, most of the growth of Reddit over the last 5 or so years haven’t been the type of folks generating good content and discussion anyway. Even if Lemmy gets like 1% of the userbase this place is going to thrive.
Hmmm the main question is whether it can get it’s content to show up in search results - this being the main selling point of Reddit and other platforms.
Right now, if you help someone fix an issue it’s pretty much walled in and unavailable.
It was here before the Reddit implosion, will be after. Question is, will you be?
deleted by creator
Glad to hear it. I deleted 2 accounts with over 100k karama, and moved fully to Lemmy. I’m here to stay as well. Reddit is dead to me.
Two things to bear in mind…
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Lemmy existed before this current reddit fiasco, so it will exist after
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there are a critical mass of users now, and imo the userbase will continue to grow, with more and more unique content added
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Android / iOS apps are out, and in development. Mod tools are coming (iirc). As fediverse becomes less technical / easier to use, it’s only going to attract more people
I think it’s likely that we’re only seeing the first wave as well. The ones most affected by third party app shutdowns are the ones that are posting all of the content and doing the moderation. Once the apps go away, it’s likely the most valuable of reddit’s users do as well. I have been on reddit since like 07 I think, and once I can’t use Apollo any longer my use of reddit is effectively gone. I’ll still occasionally browse on desktop, but even then the only way I can tolerate the desktop version is with a bunch of add ons and old.reddit which I assume is next on the block.
We’ve already seen this on twitter. Now it’s just an echo chamber for nazis, increasingly fewer celebs, and marketers (which, tbh it kinda always has been, it’s just worse now.) Moving over to mastodon wasn’t fun for a week or two, but now there is a critical mass and basically everything I got from twitter I can get from masto now. Twitter still has tons of users and dwarfs masto, but that’s a lot of chaff for not a lot of wheat.
In terms of apps, some are out, but there is still nothing that comes close to Apollo especially on iOS. With the dev of Sync and I think RIF announcing Lemmy clients, that’s about going to be a done deal. Quite a lot of my regular follows from twitter didn’t move over until Ivory and a couple of other good clients came out, so as soon as there is a comparable set of Lemmy clients, I’d say it’s pretty much done.
All that said, Reddit’s already a shell of what it was even a few months ago. It’s maybe not as easy to tell, but as someone who’s been there forever, you can tell this is different. And I know personally, even though I used reddit like junkies used meth, I’m now checking rss again, discord for various communities, Lemmy, kbin, and even a few specific forums and so forth.
Spez running an absolute master class in how to ruin a business.
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Lemmy was here before Reddit and it’ll be around for a long time.
I’m interested to see the outcome of Reddit, since I’ve been there for almost a decade, but I’m kinda liking the change to lemmy and I definitely don’t support Reddit’s decisions or direction. I think I’m going to stay here and delete my Reddit account once I see the results of the 30th
This place has existed for a lot longer than the last month.
deleted by creator
Yes.
c/InclusiveOr
c/BirthOfACommunity
Lemmy isn’t going to “die” anytime soon, it has already been around for about 4 years now, it’s not going anywhere…
Maybe activity will significantly slow down, maybe it will go back to being a super small community, but I don’t see it completely getting killed anytime soon.
Mate, it wasn’t just created. This site has been around for a while
Define die. It’s been slowly growing for the last 3 years. If it goes back to that it’s still good.
Lemmy has been around for quite a while, well before any of the recent issues. The userbase will probably die back once people get bored and go back to Reddit but some of us will still be here
When Reddit forces “new Reddit” is when the real migration will occur. Reddit is dying more and more every day.
But they promised us that old reddit isn’t going anywhere. Surely, we can trust that something won’t happen if they say it won’t happen, right?
You can trust that it won’t happen in the next fifteen minutes, probably. I wouldn’t believe much further out than that.
I think the 3PA devs got about four months, right?
Reddit in January: we will not charge for the API. Not in the next few years, at least.
Reddit in April: charges are coming, but they’ll be totally reasonable and based in reality
Reddit in May: if you want to use the API, you should pay us 29x what we make from customers that don’t use it
I don’t think Lemmy would die even if Spez gets fired and they write a public apology for the users inconvenience and step back with the API changes…
I for sure am here to stay!
Honestly even if they fired Huffman, reversed all his bad decisions, and even went open source again it would still never be the same. They would never be able to fix the damage that they’ve done.
That’s what happens when you stab your users in the back like this.
Yeah, it’s not as though the third party app devs would suddenly all be like “oh thank god we can keep working with this company”. The bridges are burned.
Also the person developing Reddit’s mod Toolbox is quitting [source]. That’ll be a huge blow to the ability for Reddit mods to moderate subreddits. Yep they really couldn’t fix this even if they wanted to (they don’t, they think we’re too stupid and that we’ll still keep using Reddit even after every sub is full of spam and “upvote if you agree” posts).
