Sequence classic: "I don’t think you could get up to 99.99% confidence for assertions like “53 is a prime number.” - eviltoast
Infinite Certainty — LessWrong
www.lesswrong.com
In “Absolute Authority,” I argued that you don’t need infinite certainty: …
  • YouKnowWhoTheFuckIAM@awful.systemsEnglish
    14·
    1 year ago

    I am absolutely astonished that anybody with the most basic understanding of relativity would ever take Yud as some kind of brain genius after he shows his entire mucky arse all over just those two opening paragraphs

    • YouKnowWhoTheFuckIAM@awful.systemsEnglish
      5·
      1 year ago

      Btw…

      I am not going to discuss the actual experiments that have been done on calibration—you can find them in my book chapter on cognitive biases and global catastrophic risk1—because I’ve seen that when I blurt this out to people without proper preparation, they thereafter use it as a Fully General Counterargument, which somehow leaps to mind whenever they have to discount the confidence of someone whose opinion they dislike, and fails to be available when they consider their own opinions.

      lol