Does The US President have a better chance to win a second term with or without Kamala Harris? - eviltoast
  • kartonrealista@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Never say never, but I don’t think it matters all that much, with Trump in jail. But to answer your question, incumbent changing their running mate seems tantamount to admitting failure and you want people to view your administration as successful.

    • severien@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Expect a lot of discussions what will happen with Biden dying in office, and that becomes even more possible.

      And imagining Kamala as a president is a big turn off.

      • doyoulikemyparka@feddit.uk
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        1 year ago

        I asked a friend this the other day and they didn’t know. In the last election Harris seemed to be set up to take over from Biden at the next election, but since then I’ve not heard anything about her or what she’s been up to as VP. What happened?

        • Guy_Fieris_Hair@lemmy.world
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          1 year ago

          Bidens neural implant was successful so she wasn’t needed. But seriously. It’s frustrating if the DNC used any common sense they could snuff the Republicans for the next few elections after what just happened with Trump. But instead they just decided to use the opportunity to be slightly less of a bad choice than the Republicans. They have to skate that line, they cant just put in someone who would be actually liked by the people. They have to install someone who plays as far by their rules as they can get and will also keep the election close so we don’t swing to far to the left.

  • number6@feddit.nl
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    1 year ago

    Biden can’t win the election without Harris.

    Keep in mind that U.S. elections are not popular elections. You have to look at key swing states. Technically, none of the other 43~ states matter much because their outcomes are already statistically pre-determined. It doesn’t matter how much people like Biden in California or New York, if he loses key states. For instance, Hillary Clinton had twice as many popular votes in California as Trump in 2016. But those extra 4 million extra votes didn’t matter to the outcome because California is just one State.

    For example, Michigan is a key electoral state. It is predominantly a red state. But Barak Obama won it two elections in a row because minorities from the densely populated areas, especially Wayne county, turned out for him. Those same minorities did not turn out when Hillary Clinton ran in 2016. They came back … just barely … when Biden ran with Harris as VP. This same story is repeated in Georgia and Wisconsin – both swing states that usually lean heavily Red.

    So, to sum up. It doesn’t matter how much people in red states hate on Harris. Their election results have already been factored. What matters is how she is perceived in key swing states. While some red state voters won’t vote for Biden because they fear he might keel over, other swing state voters will … for exactly the same reason!

    • SnausagesinaBlanket@lemmy.worldOP
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      1 year ago

      I think that no matter what, the younger voters will decide this time, but the old codgers that can barely walk better get up and do their share too. It doesn’t help that in some states they have made it very difficult for poor folks and minority neighborhoods to vote.