Easiest districts to flip based on last election’s turnout. OR currently sends two Republicans to the House of Representatives.

The 2nd district (R+ 15): Rep: Cliff Bentz. 1,000 new people would change .3% of the vote, he won with 2.1%, 7,299 new voters could change the outcome. The district covers roughly two-thirds of the state, east of the Willamette Valley. It includes all of Baker, Crook, Gilliam, Grant, Harney, Hood River, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath, Lake, Malheur, Morrow, Sherman, Umatilla, Union, Wallowa, Wasco, Wheeler counties, all but a small sliver of Jefferson County and the southeastern portions of Deschutes (excluding Bend and areas to its northwest) and Douglas Counties.

The 5th district (D+2): Rep Lori Chavez-DeRener 1,000 new people would change .2% of the vote, she won with 35% more of the vote which means 108,487 new voters could flip it. It stretches from the Southeast suburbs of Portland through the eastern half of the Willamette Valley and then reaches across the Cascades to take in Sisters and Bend. It includes a sliver of Multnomah County, the majority of Clackamas County, the rural eastern portion of Marion County, all of Linn County, a very small section of southwest Jefferson County, and the populated northwest portion of Deschutes County.